Posts

Post 6 - Moving Towards A Water-Secure Future

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Africa's Exponential Temperature Rise from 1980  Like most African nations, Ethiopia strives for a water-secured future, exemplified by its journey to build a secure water system. However, these endeavours will prove futile if climate change is ignored. Climate change has long faced scepticism and politicisation; notably,  former President Donald Trump  once dismissed it as a hoax in 2018. Conflicting information further undermines public trust and hampers support of climate-related policies ( Smith & Mayer, 2018 ). The 2018 Gallup poll (Fig1) underscores limited awareness, with 39% perceiving global warming as generally exaggerated . Fig1: Gallup Poll: Public Opinion on Global Warming. In 2022, the World Meteorological Organization documented 80 climate hazards in Africa. The State of the Climate in Africa 2021 revealed heightened water stress, notably contributing to the Algerian's wildfires and the Horn of Africa’s worst drought in 40 years , where 5...

Post 5 - Community Water Management, A Solution Towards Sustainable Water Development In Africa?

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Picture: Handpump Ethiopia's rural water strategy (RWS) is based on 'the development orthodoxy' principles ( Page, 2003 ) - community management. It entrusts users with sustainable operations and maintenance (O&Ms) responsibility ( Ludi et al., 2013 ;  Hutchings et al., 2015 ), aligning with governmental bodies and NGO's promotion of local empowerment. Despite being a cost-efficient solution for authorities, sub-Saharan revealed a third of RWS systems were non-functional ( Baumann, 2006 ). The 2016 El Niño crisis in Ethiopia exposed the inadequacy of the RWS, with 50% of hand-dug wells and 42% of other water points non-functional, leaving 43% of the population below the emergency six-litre threshold ( Florence, 2019 ) - underscoring the limitations in RWS’ "informality and voluntarism" ( Moriarty et al., 2013 ).  To address RWS failure, we examine Hutchings et al. ( 2015 ) study on 174 successful community management cases worldwide. Notably, among the 72 ...

Post 4 - The Ethiopian Dream

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 The Grand Ethiopia's Renaissance Dam (GERD) is envisioned as the nation's hope to lift the nation's chronic underachievement and improve its Human Development Index ( rank 175, 2023 ) (Fig1). Given , Ethiopia has been perennially on the brink of another food disaster resulting from exponential population growth (expected to  double to 205 million  by 2050), habitat degradation and climate change. Fig1:  Ethiopia's HDI's trend The GERD symbolises Ethiopia's  'rebirth' , aligning with Africa Rising's narrative and  independence from the neo-colonial masters . Despite being one of the world's poorest countries ( Akamo, 2022 ), Ethiopia successfully constructed the dam without the World Bank's or the West's assistance. The capital was internally raised, where even low-wage public sector workers participated by purchasing bonds, embodying a collective nationalistic sentiment ( Mbaku, 2020 ). This sentiment is exemplified by a  virtual campaig...

Post 3 - Is The Grand Ethiopia Renaissance Dam Harming Egypt & Sudan?

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The GERD In September 2023, the Grand Ethiopia Renaissance Dam (GERD) marked a significant milestone with the completion of its reservoir filling. The journey was filled with hurdles; the  podcast  below will provide insights into why the GERD construction was sentimentally charged and perceived as an existential threat despite the GERD's potential benefits ( Kahsay et al., 2015 ).   The GERD aids Sudan by filtering out 100 million cubic meters of silt, addressing the underdeveloped drainage system in that region ( Assefa, 2020 ). Supporting this, Woldeyohannes et al. ( 2017 ) assert that the dam’s sedimentary management reduces flooding by approximately 40 km, safeguarding  300,000 people 's livelihood in that region as of 19 September 2020. Econometric models suggest that the dam will contribute to Sudan’s prosperity over the period 2020–2060 through reduced economic damage, increased crop output and value-added across the economy by $27 billion - $29 billion, c...

Post 2 - "Reasonable and Equitable Use" And "Obligations not to cause significant harm" in Transboundary Water Politics

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  Fig1:  Nile Basin Transboundary Political Conflict between Ethiopia, Sudan and Egypt Timeline In this 3-series post on transboundary water politics, we will examine Ethiopia's success in constructing its new identity around the notions of entitlement.  I won't dive into the history of the Anglo-Egyptian treaties of 1902, 1929, and 1959 ( Tekuya, 2018 ) that established Egyptian and Sudanese hydrogemony over the Nile before African independence (Fig1). Suffice it to say that these historical agreements excluded Ethiopia's interests despite 86% of the Nile's waters originating from Ethiopia (Fig2) ( Swain, 2011 ). The dispute arose over chronology  (Fig3)  vs hydrography ( Wolf, 1999 ), with  Egypt and Sudan  clinging to historical treaties while Ethiopia contested their rights. Fig2:  River Share according to Colonial Treaties Fig3:  Chronology(Egypt) v.s. Hydrography(Ethiopia) Contestation in Principles and Guidelines Fig4: G...

Introduction – Thirsty For Water…

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Fig1: Safe Water is a basic right Welcome to my "Africa Water Developments and Politics" blog series.  Water development is essential as Africa has the lowest proportion of national populations to safe water ( WHO-UNICEF Joint Monitoring Program, 2017 ) and the lowest per capita rates of food production in the world ( Funk and Brown, 2009 ).  Every year , we read reports of severe drought and famine with  1 in 3 Africans faces water scarcity , and approximately 400 million people in sub-Saharan regions like Ethiopia, Tanzania, and Uganda having less than 500 ㎥ /person  of basic water annually . In 2023, areas in the  Horn of Africa , especially Kenya , languish the longest drought and hunger (Fig2) ( WFP, 2022 ).  Fig2: Kenya's Drought Physical aspect o f climate and topographical influences.  The inter-tropical convergence zone (ITCZ) movement affects the seasonal precipitation patterns across the continent. ...